(This is a three-part series article written by our
Author Dinakar Lanka about his analysis of
Budget 2023)
Every Budget for a particular Financial Year is mutually exclusive and special in most cases, but it connects from the past and to the future pertaining to the Nation’s Finance like a going concern as perpetuity, it will have implied implications on Nation’s Economy. This Budget 2023-24 will be a comprehensive and cumulative impact of 8 years of the Narendra Modi administration's influence on the future. Hence, I decided to analyze all important aspects in three parts for Budget 2023-24 and each article of this series have interconnected. The Upcoming Union Budget period will be concluded just before the 2024 General Elections.
Hence, an eagle eye focus exists on it from both ruling and opposition parties along with the appraisal of financial and economic analysts at domestic and International levels will be there due to prevailing conditions, such as the Ukraine war disruption of the supply chain of goods and services, Global Economy slow down and Covid19 impact, etc.
Hence, the next Budget can not overlook all these aspects and as well as, Important Governance decisions of Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led Union Government as it planned strategically
NAMO 1.0 between 2014 to 2019 and continuing it along with new schemes and projects at present in NAMO 2.0 for basic needs and amenities for the poor and needed and pays attention for creating all kind of Infrastructure facilities. As far as the Growth rate is concerned when Narendra Modi took charge as Prime Minister was 5.1% and 6.9% for the financial years 2012-13 and 2013-14 respectively based on 2011-12 prices as the base year.
If we observe the sequence of the programs of the Narendra Modi-led Union Government from it’s inception, the perpetuity of schemes and programs appear as evident, such as, To achieve 100% ODF as the utmost priority, the program was initiated on 2nd October 2014 by the Union Government and sanitation had been covered under
Swacha Bharath Mission ( Grameen ), up to 1,34,396 villages in our country had declared as 100% ODF as on 2nd December 2022.
Housing for the poor under
Pradhana Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) Urban as a flagship Mission of the Union Government in Urban areas commenced on 25th June 2015 and sanctioned 1.23 Crore houses for the entire country till now with a total investment of 8.31 Lack Crores, in which sanctioned fund by the Union Government was for Rs. 2.03 Lack Crores, out of which 1.30 Lack Crore has been disbursed so far and 1.07 Crore houses have been grounded and construction of the houses have been completed to the extent of 65.50 Lacks so far, that means more than 60% grounded has been completed.
PM Narendra Modi had announced
Ayushman Bharath Pradhana Mantri Jana Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY) on 23rd September 2018 with a motive to facilitate 10.74 Crore families consisting of 50 Crore individual health cover for Rs. 5 Lacks per family to improve the quality health services for the BPL families, As on 31st march 2022 nearly 18 Crore individuals had been received Ayushman cards and 3.63 Crore hospital admissions for worth around Rs. 40,000 Crores from more than 25,800 Network of Empanelled Health Care Providers have complied. Union Government-led PM Narendra Modi took an initiation for PM Jandhan Yojana to open the bank accounts for those beneficiaries who avail of government schemes and subsidies to connect their accounts for the transfer of Direct
The benefit of schemes into their accounts, there were 47.51 Crore beneficiaries benefitted till 2nd December 2022. As per the details, the amount of Rs. 26.02 lack Crores has been transferred under
Direct Benefit Transfer from Financial Year 2014-15 to till 2nd December 2022. Apart from this, the Number of Loans under
Pradhan Mantri MUDRA Yojana ( PMMY ) provided for 37.76 Crores till 2nd December 2022 for non-corporate micro-enterprises up to 10 Lacks since 8th April 2015.
In addition to the above, Narendra Modi-led Union Government gave utmost "
priority to assist for Farmers and Rural Bharath Development" simultaneously. Union Government did bear a subsidy of more than 4.50 Lack Crore between 2014 to 2019 and thereafter abnormally raise the prices of fertilizers at leaps and bounds have been forced to increase the
Fertilisers Subsidy, 83 Thousand Crore, 1.28 Lack Crore, 1.55 lack Crore, and 1.65 Lack Crore subsidy for the financial years 2019 - 20, 2020 -21, 2021-22 and 2022 -23 respectively for the Quality and Timely supply of Fertilisers at affordable prices by neem oil quote for farmers without the interference of black market.
Union Government has raised in
MSP for agricultural produces for the benefit of the farmers as MSP for paddy fixed for Rs.2,040 per quintal for the year 2022-23, which is 50% higher when compared with the year 2014-15. As far as Wheat is concerned, MSP for 2023-24 has been fixed for Rs 2,125, which is 57.4% higher when compared with the year 2013-14, and MSP for Sun fower Oil seeds fixed at Rs. 6,400/- for the year 2022-23 with 71% increase. Further,
Fasal Bhima Yojana for crop insurance registered more than 11.42 Crores farmers from 2018 till 2nd December 2022, and Rs 25,186 crore have been paid by the farmers as the premium, whereas Rs 1,25,662 crore has been paid to the farmers against their claims as on October 31, 2022, for last six years with Central and state governments have been bearing the maximum premium under this scheme.
Apart from this, through
PM Kisan Samman Nidhi Yojana Rs. 6,000 per year for each farmer, a total of 11.37 Core number of Farmers benefiting for Rs. 2.16 Lack Crore in 12 installments till now. To improve the rural connectivity infrastructure total of 3.38 Lack Kilometres length of roads have been sanctioned under
PM Gram Sadak Yojana since 2014-15 and expenditure incurred for 1.72 Lack Crores for the last 8 years.
In order to provide rural guarantee employment Union Government has been continuing
MNREGA uninterruptedly and GOI had spent around Rs. 2.70 Lack Crore between 2014 - 2019, thereafter Rs. 68,266 Crores, Rs. 1,11,671 Crores, Rs. 1,00,399 Crores for 2019 - 20, 2020 - 21, and 2021-22 respectively. Further, Rs. 73,000 Crores allocated in the current financial year Budget 2022 - 23 with an aim to provide employment for 15.49 Crore Work force for 211 Crores person days to benefit the 5.38 Crore rural households and expected to reach the program outlay for above 1 Lack Crore in terms of actual payments by the end of the current financial year.
As per the
National Food Security Act ( NFSA ), Union Government released the Food Subsidy for the benefit of 80 Crore BPL individual beneficiaries for Rs 5,54,871 Crores between 2014 and 2019 for the first 5 years of Namo 1.0 governance, whereas it was 5,15,963 Crores between 2004 and 2014 for 10 years of UPA governance.
It means Namo 1.0 government for 5 years spent on Food Subsidy was more than 10 years spent by the UPA governmentApart from above, 9.57 Crores LPG connections under PM Ujjwala Yojana till 2nd December 2022 for ease of cooking for women in BPL families, 2.82 Crores Households electrified under Saubhagya - Pradhana Mantri Sahaj Bijili Har Ghar Yojana with free metered connections for poor in villages since Oct 2017 with an aim for 100% electrification of village households, 36.87 Crores LED Bulbs distributed under Unnat Jyoti by Affordable LEDs for All ( Ujala ). Further, Start Up India has become a successful program to encourage the upcoming entrepreneurs as Union Government admits various benefits such as Lower Income taxes etc.
Further, Post
Demonetisation impact on finance can be analysed sensibly by tracking the black money and control of counterfeit currency is evident as Bharath stood in the No 1 position in
Digital Currency Transactions in the world and there has been significant growth in the filing the Income Tax Returns at a record level. If We observe, the implementation of remarkably long waiting for
GST has been yielding benefits to the Nation as almost close to 1.45 lack crore per month collection registers favorable growth and
Both Direct and Indirect Taxes collections have been reaching the targets favorably as per the estimations as Narendra Modi led Union Government intends more reforms in Direct and Indirect Taxes procedures for the benefit of the tax payers and so on as well as confidence reposed on Bharath among the mindset of the other
Nations and Brand Image of Bharath in the International fraternity has become super positive due to successful strategic and diplomatic approach with other countries.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi always gives importance to Qualitative Human Resources Upgradation from Primary Education to till Post graduation, for
New Education Policy bring to upgrade the conceptual and technical knowledge and skills of the students the choice of them to avail the option of medium including professional courses in the regional languages. Nowadays, funds allocation to
Samagra Shiksha Abhiyan & UGC is evident in the upgradation of infrastructure for schools, colleges, and universities to create an environment with best practices for the benefit of students. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s perception of
Skill India and Digital India is for upgrading the Quality on par with International standards and even much better for our products and services with Make in India as a model for generating employment opportunities, subsequently, all these have been useful for our
Atmanirbhar Bharath.
Prior to Namo 1.0, there were global challenges that impacted the economy along with the compromised coalition government policies during the Manmohan Singh-led UPA Government with huge corruption charges against the ministers and other representatives of their coalition government. Apart from the existing challenges, additionally, Brexit and European Countries' economic slowdown had been the greatest challenges against our economy. Though Narendra Modi-led Union Government had been criticized by the opponents about Demonetisation and GST, facts were distinct as the average GDP between 2009 - 10 and 2013 - 14 was on average around 6.70%, Whereas it was 7.38% between 2014 - 15 and 2018 - 19.
After examination of the Narendra Modi-led Union Government while performance evaluation on the
implementation of Welfare schemes on the basis of Antyodaya and implementation of the Projects for Economy Growth continues till saturation for achieving inclusive sustainable growth. Hence, Welfare schemes and Projects have been continuing uninterruptedly and it extends during the Namo 2.0 along with the additional programs as per the time and situation demands. Most particularly, NAMO 1.0 Governance Influence Exists On Budget 2023-24.